Egg Chaser says: Australia will beat New Zealand
Palla Ovale says: more Eden Park woe for Aussies
All evidence in front of me points towards a New Zealand victory. Much has been made of the Aussies’ Tri-Nations-winning performance over the Kiwis, and the mental fortitude they will get frmo it, but that was back in Strylia; not in Eden Park, where they almost never win. It will take something approaching a miracle performance for Australia to get a win in Eden Park in a world-cup semi-final.
The only miracle so far is that the Aussies have made it this far. If WoC ever becomes a millionaire, the first thing we’ll do is hire a bunch of forensic scientists to work out how on earth they beat South Africa. If their set piece, ball retention and out-half are even 20% as bad as they were in the quarter-final, there is no chance whatsoever of New Zealand failing to get over the try-line and punish them. If Autralia’s set piece is poor again, the margin of victory could be as much as 20 points. Quade Cooper’s form is atrocious – it does look like the pressure of being Public Enemy No.1 has got to him.
That said, Australia will hardly be as bad again. The sight of the black shirts should bring out something better in them, but it will hardly be enough. The Kiwis injury troubles are being overstated – Israel Dagg and Richard Kahui are back in tandem – they’re only really missing one player, albeit a crucial one. But while we’re on that topic, Aaron Cruden looked happier to be there against Argentina, and should provide more presence than the ghostly Slade.
New Zealand by more than a score.